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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. AI capability growth this year?
AI capability growth this year?

AI capability growth this year?

9.0% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 1650 score
At least 1650 score 9%-9.0%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,5 €

Liquidez

204,7 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

6.0% / 9.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 minutos

6/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

At least 1650 score9%

Regras

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

AI capability growth before July?

AI capability growth before July?

127,3 €
At least 1550 score: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,7 mil €
Sim: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

315,9 €
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Manifold Markets

Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?

86,6 €
Mainstream narrative shift: 71.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027

86,6 €
Sim: 26.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

75,9 €
$8/MTok or below: 24%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,863.19+2.00%SolanaSOL$65.23+1.73%EthereumETH$1,658.75+1.33%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.40%BNBBNB$601.17+2.46%XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.