PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Anthropic 96%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
41,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
96.4% / 96.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
3
Variação 7d
+1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
30/01/26, 22:45 UTC31/12/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
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PolymarketLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Anthropic é de 94%. As cotações diferem cerca de 2 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Anthropic 94% · 2 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 132,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 100,3 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 322,4 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- A Polymarket cota Anthropic em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? é resolvido?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- Onde mais Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Kalshi.