Update 2026-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment):
New commitments/pledges that are hard to wiggle out of (not just actual grants) can count as evidence for YES resolution, or could at least contribute to a percentage resolution.
Political donations may count if they are primarily directed towards candidates that are running on charitable causes (e.g., animal welfare, AI safety)
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO??
A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? é resolvido?
third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
Como third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?