KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 2.25% 95%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
47 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
19,8 mil €
Liquidez
19,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
8/09/26, 13:00 UTC14/09/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
If Anthropic scores above 2.25% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Sep 8, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Anthropic scores above 2.45% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume total
- € 225,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 157 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 348,3 mil
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- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Anthropic market share this week?
- A Kalshi cota Above 2.25% em 95% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Anthropic market share this week é resolvido?
- Anthropic market share this week deverá ser resolvido em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Anthropic market share this week é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Anthropic scores above 2.25% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.