PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual1510 54%-13.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
100 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
10 mil €
Liquidez
23,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.9%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+16.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
2/04/26, 22:0930/09/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
151054%
Tendência de volume
$11.4k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Best Chinese AI Company this week
6,8 mil €Moonshot: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
6,3 mil €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 mil €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
1,3 mil €Sim: 5.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill "Estimating No-CoT Task-Completion Time Horizo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
892 €Sim: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
804,9 €Anthropic: 95%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
- If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".