KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
above 1500 51%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
25/06/26, 22:30 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsGemini 3.5 Pro when???
Manifold MarketsRegras
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify.
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- A Kalshi cota above 1500 em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score é resolvido?
- Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.