PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
1480+ 85%-9.2ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,9 mil €
Liquidez
4,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.2 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
-10.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
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PolymarketWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before the next Gemini Pro model gets released?
Manifold MarketsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.