KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2031 90%Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
60,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
3/03/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNFox BusinessMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressFinancial TimesCNBCYahoo FinanceMarketWatchAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
- For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 160-179+2.5pt25.5%
- 180-199+7.5pt25.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt17.9%
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- Volume total
- € 446,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 138,2 mil
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- NVIDIA-2.0pt77%
- Apple+2.3pt16%
- Alphabet6%
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- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Volume total
- € 2,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 36,1 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19918.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt16.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt15.4%
+23 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will any company achieve AGI??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2031 em 90% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will any company achieve AGI? é resolvido?
- When will any company achieve AGI? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como When will any company achieve AGI? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.