Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 16 de jul. de 2026, 17:10 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atual
OpenAI 25.3%+0.6%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 dias
Desatualizado29/08/24, 15:5831/12/30, 18:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
OpenAI25%
Tendência de volume
$2315 de jul.2d de dados16 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 mil €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
164,9 €5.4: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIs GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?
87,9 €Sim: 5.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
5,4 mil €December 31, 2027: 66%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
3,2 mil €$500M: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
253,4 mil €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Morpho rolls out Midnight for fixed term lending on BaseCrypto News
Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe BlockRegras
Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.
- This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
- If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)