Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89.1% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) é resolvido?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.

Como Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

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Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.2pt85.9%
• Anthropic+5.2pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 3,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 130,9 mil

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.3pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.1pt19.1%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.7pt57%
• Gemini-4.3pt31.3%
• ChatGPT-1.3pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+6.5pt84%
• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• November 30,-5.5pt59%

+9 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.8%
• Google-8.0pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.3%

+12 mais resultados

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