Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 62% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) é resolvido?

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.

Como Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt92%
• November 30,+31.0pt90%

+15 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 5,3 mi

Volume 24h

€ 306 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+1.0pt55.1%
• Google36.7%
• OpenAI-0.7pt5.1%

+12 mais resultados

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+64.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-5.0pt29.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.3pt22.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt17.6%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.8pt57.8%
• Gemini-0.8pt30.5%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt

• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?