PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
1430+ 63%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,9 mil €
Liquidez
6,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
21/09/26, 21:20 UTC30/06/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Luna model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify.
- Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+72.4pt74.5%
- September 23+11.6pt13.7%
- September 24+3.8pt4.9%
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 269,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 199,9 mil
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-4.0pt27%
- Mark Carney-3.0pt19%
- Pope Leo XIV-7.0pt9%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,5 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt70.3%
- ChatGPT-0.9pt13.9%
- Gemini-1.7pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,3 mi
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.2pt99%
- OpenAI+0.6pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 2026+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 85 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 65,3 mil
- Best AI this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut??
- A Polymarket cota 1430+ em 63% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? é resolvido?
- Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Luna model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.