PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
June 30, 2027 12%
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
15 mil €
Liquidez
28,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
3.5% / 4.0%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
19/09/26, 00:27 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 199,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10 mi
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 153,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 171 mil
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 199,4 mil
- Volume 24h
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- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- A Polymarket cota June 30, 2027 em 12% em 19 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Anthropic lab leak by which date? é resolvido?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
- Como Anthropic lab leak by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.