Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Crime & JusticeOne-OffHealth & Medicine
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 60%
Previsores
102
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado31/03/23, 12:45 UTC1/01/00, 05:00 UTC
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Here is the market in question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory)I've tried to make it clear that I'm only going to resolve it once there's overwhelming evidence in one direction or another, no more serious concerns about relevant evidence being hidden, I'll talk to experts, etc. That said, it still ultimately comes down to my personal opinion, and, very reasonably, some people don't feel fully comfortable trusting that on such a controversial and politically charged topic.
- So, after that market resolves, I'll post a poll about whether Manifold users agree with the decision.
- (Alt accounts are ignored, and moderators count for 5x the votes of others.
- I don't get a vote myself.) If at least 10% of the vote disagrees, this market resolves YES.
- I will be trying to make sure that votes are an accurate representation of that user's beliefs, so as to avoid trolls who vote dishonestly.
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? é resolvido?
- Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Here is the market in question: