LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 27 de out. de 2026, 23:43 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30, 2027 7%
June 30, 2027 7%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
30/09/26, 13:25 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Anthropic lab leak by...? · June 30, 2027 8%
