KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Claude · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Claude 18.5%Líder entre 8 opções
Claude 18.5%Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
203,4 €
Contratos em aberto
103,6 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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ClaudeSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
10/02/26, 01:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Claude
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
Regras de cada resultado
- Claude
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ernie
- If a model by Baidu is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Other
- If a model by Other is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.