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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

5.0% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Claude
Claude 31%-5.0%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

4,9 €

Liquidez

425,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

27.0% / 31.0%

Spread

14.8%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

10/02/26, 1:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Claude31%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

2.0%6m
None in 2026
None in 2026
+2.0%70%
Anthropic
Anthropic
-7.0%23%
OpenAI
OpenAI
+0.3%6%

+29 mais resultados

80 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total67 mil €
Volume 24h984 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

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Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.