PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atual
None in 2026 70%+4.0%Líder entre 32 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
984,3 €
Liquidez
41,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
67.0% / 73.0%
Spread
9.0%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+11.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
13/02/26, 21:4931/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
Resultado escolhido
None in 202670%
Também disponível em Kalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
5.0%6m
-5.0%31%
1%
7%
+5 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total711,8 €
Volume 24h4,9 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.