Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
ChainlinkCorporate ActionsOne-OffIA3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAnthropic / Claude 100%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado27/11/25, 09:46 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
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Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.
- If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
- If multiple shared #1 ranks, as has been the case in the past, any of those positions count.
- If there are no longer ranked numbers, only top spot/ELO would count.
- If same ELO, but second spot for some trivial/irrelevant reason, still resolves YES.
- Answer resolves YES immediately when an update has been confirmed, no matter what duration it stays in top.
Mercados abertos
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- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 mais resultados
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- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
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- ↑ 1451%
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MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
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- € 43
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
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- —
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Anthropic / Claude em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.