Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
ChainlinkEventos corporativosOne-OffIA2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAnthropic / Claude 100%Líder entre 10 opções
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado27/11/25, 09:46 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.
- If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
- If multiple shared #1 ranks, as has been the case in the past, any of those positions count.
- If there are no longer ranked numbers, only top spot/ELO would count.
- If same ELO, but second spot for some trivial/irrelevant reason, still resolves YES.
- Answer resolves YES immediately when an update has been confirmed, no matter what duration it stays in top.
