Which company will have the #1 model on the Arena text leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026?
30.5 pts (24h)One-OffIATecnologia22dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGoogle 86.2%+30.5ptLíder entre 5 opções
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
+66.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado4/10/26, 18:57 UTC31/10/26, 23:59 UTC
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Which company's model will be ranked #1 on the Arena (formerly LMArena) text leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
- Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text (formerly lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), default view as served to a logged-out visitor, with no filters or categories changed.
- How it resolves: I check the leaderboard as soon as possible after 2026-10-31 23:59 UTC.
- The answer is the company that developed the model listed in first position (highest Score).
- If the page shows a tie on the top Score between models from different companies, the market resolves to those companies in equal shares.
- If a live check isn't possible, I'll use the first Wayback Machine snapshot of that URL after the deadline.
