PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
1430+ 8%-73.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
1430+ 8%-73.0ptQualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
20,9 mil €
Liquidez
5 mil €
Liquidez médiaComentários
1
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
7/10/26, 16:58 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mistral AI's Mistral Large 4 model, when added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be Mistral Large 4 (released in public preview on October 6, 2026), identified by a name or model identifier that includes "Mistral" and "Large" with a version designation of 4 or 4.0, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors — for example, mistral-large-4-0 or Mistral-Large-4.0.
- Models with any other version designation, such as Mistral Large 3 or a later Mistral Large 4.1, and models whose name does not include "Large," such as Mistral Medium 3.5 or Ministral, Magistral, Codestral, Devstral, Pixtral, or Voxtral models, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.