KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 55.2% 60%-15.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Above 55.2% 60%-15.0ptQualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
755,9 €
Contratos em aberto
712,3 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoSpread
12.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
4/10/26, 16:00 UTC9/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 58.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 9, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 8, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 55.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 55.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 58.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 58.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 66.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 74.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 74.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 49.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 49.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 62.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 68.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 69.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 71.3%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 8, 2026 is above 71.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
