KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Claude 89.1%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
30,9 mil €
Liquidez
27 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
21/09/26, 16:00 UTC28/09/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AI
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+41.9pt67.6%
- September 24+1.3pt12.4%
- September 23+0.7pt6.7%
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 218,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 178,7 mil
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-1.0pt28%
- Mark Carney-1.0pt18%
- Donald Trump10%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt70.3%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt13.9%
- Gemini-0.8pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mi
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.1pt98%
- Google-0.3pt1%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+18 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt79%
- December 15,+9.0pt74%
- November 30,+8.0pt57%
+7 mais resultados
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Best AI this week?
- A Kalshi cota Claude em 89% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Best AI this week é resolvido?
- Best AI this week deverá ser resolvido em 28 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Best AI this week é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.