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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

FedOne-OffRegulamentaçãoBonds & TreasuriesCorporate Actions6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 14%
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

1,5 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

10.0% / 19.0%

Spread

90.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

12/11/25, 23:3331/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes14%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. bank with total assets exceeding $50 billion as of November 11, 2025 (see:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/lbr/current/), is bailed out by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A bailout is defined as any of these actions in direct response to directly related to solvency, liquidity, or capital adequacy concerns.
  • -Establishing a Federal Reserve emergency lending facility -Creating an FDIC-assisted resolution or bridge bank -A U.S.
  • Treasury capital injection -A publicly disclosed, regulatory-facilitated acquisition
  • An official announcement from the U.S. government that they are taking any of these actions will qualify regardless of if/when the action occurs.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S. bank with total assets exceeding $50 billion as of November 11, 2025 (see:https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/lbr/current/), is bailed out by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A bailout is defined as any of these actions in direct response to directly related to solvency, liquidity, or capital adequacy concerns.
  • -Establishing a Federal Reserve emergency lending facility -Creating an FDIC-assisted resolution or bridge bank -A U.S.
  • Treasury capital injection -A publicly disclosed, regulatory-facilitated acquisition
  • An official announcement from the U.S. government that they are taking any of these actions will qualify regardless of if/when the action occurs.