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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaChinaCrime & Justice18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 1%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

4,4 €

Liquidez

17,7 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

0.9% / 1.1%

Spread

22.2%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.3%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

13/02/26, 0:0930/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes1%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.