PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%+0.6pt
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
39,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
3.3% / 4.5%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/11/25, 19:43 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Iran that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Iran may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Iran.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Iran.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Iran nuclear test before 2027? é resolvido?
- Iran nuclear test before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Iran nuclear test before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.