PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 6%-0.1ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
11,2 €
Liquidez
32,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
10
Variação 7d
+0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
5/11/25, 18:16 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
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FutuurRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Russia nuclear test by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31, em 6% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Russia nuclear test by which date? é resolvido?
- Russia nuclear test by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Russia nuclear test by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).