Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 85.6%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado9/08/26, 18:54 UTC1/01/40, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if two distinct Millennium Prize Problems have solving dates no more than 365 days apart, and both solving dates occur before the market close.
- A problem's solving date is the earliest date on which a complete and correct solution was publicly available online.
- Correctness may be established retrospectively; subsequent recognition, peer review, or verification does not change the solving date.
- More clarifications:
- A claimed solution containing a substantive mathematical gap does not count.