KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before 2040 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Before 2040 42.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Before 2040 42.5%Qualidade do mercado
29 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
213,2 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
Before 2040Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
12/09/26, 22:00 UTC7/01/28, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before 2040
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Regras
If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostThe EconomistSciencethe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReutersScientific American
- For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time: A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals. A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before 2040
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2035
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2035 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
