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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Tecnologia
  3. How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

TecnologiaCiênciaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 25
At least 25 91%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

34,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

89.0% / 92.0%

Spread

3.4%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

13/05/26, 22:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

At least 2591%

Regras

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

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Regras

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.