Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.7%
Previsores
180
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
4/03/26, 03:00 UTC1/01/27, 03:50 UTC
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KalshiRegras
(This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if independent testing confirms the Donut Battery contains less than 0.1% lithium by weight.
- The market resolves NO if testing confirms lithium content at or above 0.1% by weight.
- Resolution will be determined by peer-reviewed analysis, official company disclosure with third-party verification, or independent laboratory testing from credible institutions (e.g., VTT Technical Research Centre, university materials science departments, or certified battery analysis labs).
- Links to testing results and composition data will serve as primary resolution sources.
