Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.2%
Previsores
166
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
4/03/26, 03:00 UTC1/01/27, 03:50 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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(This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if independent testing confirms the Donut Battery contains less than 0.1% lithium by weight.
- The market resolves NO if testing confirms lithium content at or above 0.1% by weight.
- Resolution will be determined by peer-reviewed analysis, official company disclosure with third-party verification, or independent laboratory testing from credible institutions (e.g., VTT Technical Research Centre, university materials science departments, or certified battery analysis labs).
- Links to testing results and composition data will serve as primary resolution sources.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de A Donut Battery é essencialmente livre de lítio??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando A Donut Battery é essencialmente livre de lítio? é resolvido?
- A Donut Battery é essencialmente livre de lítio? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como A Donut Battery é essencialmente livre de lítio? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: (This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)