Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 70.3%
Previsores
136
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado7/02/23, 18:40 UTC1/01/30, 08:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Must be largely undisputed.
- The most recent one as of market creation was South Sudan in 2011.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 947,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 688,2 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- € 58,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 289,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
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- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
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- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70% em 19 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Must be largely undisputed.