Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaOriente Médio2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualPartial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028 64%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 07:42 UTC1/01/29, 18:29 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on the international recognition status of Yemen's political entities by December 31, 2028:
- Yes: Two or more independent states achieve formal international recognition (e.g., UN membership, diplomatic recognition from major powers).
- This includes scenarios where South Arabia, a Houthi state, or other entities gain recognized statehood.
- Partial: De facto territorial separation exists with functioning parallel governments and institutions, but no formal international recognition of independent statehood is achieved.
- No: Yemen remains unified under a single internationally recognized government, regardless of internal fragmentation or de facto autonomous zones.
