Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91%
Previsores
50
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 40 minutos
28/08/23, 08:17 UTC31/12/28, 21:59 UTC
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
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Manifold MarketsWhen AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?
Manifold Markets2026 World GDP Growth
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiRegras
We will resolve it at the closing time to "No" if there's no year with growth over 14% or insufficient growth for the GDP to have doubled.
- Otherwise, I will have to wait for official statistics to resolve this.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,4 mil
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- € 314,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the World's GDP double in 5 years??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? é resolvido?
- Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: We will resolve it at the closing time to "No" if there's no year with growth over 14% or insufficient growth for the GDP to have doubled.