Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 73.3%
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Atualizado há 22 minutos
13/06/26, 15:41 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.
- The reduced availability must be on-surface-appearance-obviously due to US government action.
- Exception: Ceasing to support any services in some country (e.g. OpenAI removing a country from https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/supported-countries) does NOT count.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.