Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026?
IAOne-Off2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 73.3%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
13/06/26, 15:41 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
Manifold MarketsWill Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.
- The reduced availability must be on-surface-appearance-obviously due to US government action.
- Exception: Ceasing to support any services in some country (e.g. OpenAI removing a country from https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/supported-countries) does NOT count.
