Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.5%
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227
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado3/03/26, 04:02 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.
- Resolves to a consensus of popular reporting.
- If there's an estimate like "about a thousand", that will be adequate, I don't want to litigate which of two independent estimates of 950 or 1050 troops are more accurate; I'll resolve in the spirit of the question.
- I will not bet in this market (after initial bet to a reasonable probability).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.