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Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 86.6%
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28
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Metodologia
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado7/03/26, 22:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Confirmed publicly and credibly, whether by Russia or another government
- Official Russian regulars ("under the flag of Russia"), not just troops of a not-Russian-state-official paramilitary group who happen to be Russian
- Intentionally deployed into Iranian territory, not skirmishing in and out from adjacent areas
- Combat roles (infantry, tanks, artillery, frontline drone teams, etc.), whether or not they are actually used in combat
- Humans that would be used in ground combat; naval forces in Iranian waters are not "troops in Iran" for the purposes of this market, nor are military aircraft stationed in Iran with their crews if they lack supporting Russian guard deployments
- May be special forces or similar that otherwise use irregular tactics while still being official troops; general purpose infantry don't exclusively qualify.