Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.6%
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28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado7/03/26, 22:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurRegras
Confirmed publicly and credibly, whether by Russia or another government
- Official Russian regulars ("under the flag of Russia"), not just troops of a not-Russian-state-official paramilitary group who happen to be Russian
- Intentionally deployed into Iranian territory, not skirmishing in and out from adjacent areas
- Combat roles (infantry, tanks, artillery, frontline drone teams, etc.), whether or not they are actually used in combat
- Humans that would be used in ground combat; naval forces in Iranian waters are not "troops in Iran" for the purposes of this market, nor are military aircraft stationed in Iran with their crews if they lack supporting Russian guard deployments
- May be special forces or similar that otherwise use irregular tactics while still being official troops; general purpose infantry don't exclusively qualify.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Confirmed publicly and credibly, whether by Russia or another government