![Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fuser-images%252Fdefault%252FuRP5cdySLP.webp%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D17d6f253-732f-4721-8f31-075afb093cb9&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 96.2%
Sim 96.2%Previsores
80
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado9/01/26, 08:06 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?
Manifold MarketsP(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
Manifold MarketsDoes a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
Manifold MarketsNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurUS basic interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurRegras
Resolves to YES if the Milky Way still exists in 2030.
- I will treat this as an adversarial long-term interest market that should better reflect the interest rates in real long-term markets.
- I will try to keep the "No" price as high as possible.
- This may include:
- Buying "No" shares
- Buying "No" shares at inconvenient times to make people lose their league spot
