Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado28/12/25, 05:18 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve YES if it is widely reported that the "AI Bubble" has "bursted" or "popped" by 11:59 PM UTC Dec. 31 2026.
- This could manifest in many different ways: - a sudden drop of the NQINTEL or S&P500 indexes - a halt of capital expenditure and/or VC investment in AI - private AI companies (such as OAI, xAI, Anthropic, etc.) raising at substantially lower valuations than previous rounds, defaulting or shutting down. - governments / big enterprises moving down AI in their priority lists.
- These events need to be widely reported and referred to as an AI crash or similar by trusted news sources such as Bloomberg, NY Times, FT, Reuters, AP, etc. Other reasons for a stock market crash or economic slowdown (tariffs, wars, etc.) will not count.
- Feel free to ask more questions about the criteria.
- I will not trade on this market.
- Update 2026-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Media consensus is the primary resolution criterion.
Mercados abertos
Trade Policy
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 13,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,7 mil
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156.5%
- October 3130.6%
- September 30+3.0pt13%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+11.0pt35%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,3 mil
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+4.0pt77%
- Yes-4.0pt23%
- Volume total
- € 17,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 556,6
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-5.0pt72%
- No28%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 543,1
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
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- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the AI bubble pop in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the AI bubble pop in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the AI bubble pop in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the AI bubble pop in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve YES if it is widely reported that the "AI Bubble" has "bursted" or "popped" by 11:59 PM UTC Dec. 31 2026.