Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 89.8%
Não 89.8%Previsores
142
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 53 minutos
Atrasado24/05/23, 01:02 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
"Strong" means that the evidence is reported as credible by mainstream press and/or is accepted by at least a large minority of relevant scientists (e.g. 1 in 3).
- "Evidence" can be direct (e.g. the physical recovery of alien bacteria from Mars) or indirect (e.g. telescopic observations of technosignatures).
- Evidence can also be of the past existence of aliens, such as fossils.
- "Aliens" are defined liberally.
- This market counts anything that is arguably non-earth-originating life as aliens.
- This includes both intelligent and non-intelligent beings, non-carbon-based biology, and things, such as viruses, for which there is controversy over their status as life.
