Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 88.2%
Previsores
40
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado6/06/24, 00:06 UTC1/01/31, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Major earthquake would involve property damage of over $1B or loss of life over 100.
- Epicenter has to be within 50 miles of San Francisco.
- Loma Prieta quake would not have qualified due to distance.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Major earthquake would involve property damage of over $1B or loss of life over 100.