Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83%
Previsores
46
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 horas
Desatualizado11/05/25, 00:09 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.
- i will not trade on this market.
- if any of the conditions below apply for >=7 days before 2030, the market resolves "yes".
- if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves "yes".
- if ukraine gov seems very pro russia to me in or before 2030, i will then resolve to "yes".
- Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the condition "if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves 'yes'", the >=7 days must be consecutive.