Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / Ucrânia2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.7%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado5/03/26, 22:01 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over the city of Dnipro by December 31, 2026.
- Full control means Russian forces occupy the city proper and maintain administrative authority over it.
- The resolution will be determined by official statements from the Ukrainian government, Russian government, or verified reports from established military monitoring organizations such as the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) or DeepState.
- If the city remains under Ukrainian control or is only partially occupied, the market resolves NO.
- Dnipro was not successfully captured by Russian forces during the initial 2022 offensive, but did suffer heavy shelling by Russian artillery.