Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / UcrâniaEuropa3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 88.5%
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado14/01/24, 15:13 UTC31/12/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegras
If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.
- Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and military vehicles deployment inside a territory.