Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRússia / Ucrânia13a
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado13/02/24, 03:28 UTC1/01/40, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Inspired by @XYZ_RGB's question, thank you making the example.
- Resolves YES if Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029. "Kinetic military action" excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources.
- It includes shooting projectiles, and deploying troops or military vehicles inside Poland.
- We will ignore accidents with stray missiles such as this one.
- Resolves NO in 2040-Jan if no kinetic military attack happens.