Will replacing Zaluzhnyi with Syrskyi turn out disastrous for Ukraine?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 72.2%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado8/02/24, 19:20 UTC31/12/30, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Will resolve YES if there are severe negative strategic consequences for Ukraine that can be reasonably attributed to today's change of the commander in chief.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO, but it may take some time.
- Somewhat subjective market, so I will not bet on it.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will replacing Zaluzhnyi with Syrskyi turn out disastrous for Ukraine??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will replacing Zaluzhnyi with Syrskyi turn out disastrous for Ukraine? é resolvido?
- Will replacing Zaluzhnyi with Syrskyi turn out disastrous for Ukraine? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will replacing Zaluzhnyi with Syrskyi turn out disastrous for Ukraine? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will resolve YES if there are severe negative strategic consequences for Ukraine that can be reasonably attributed to today's change of the commander in chief.