Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.5%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado25/01/26, 21:53 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over Lyman, Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution sources
- Confirmation from: (at least 3 of these) Suriyakmaps, Kalibrated, Military Summary, DPA, AMK
- Official statements from Ukrainian/Russian military command
- Map shaded red on ISW map
