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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

2.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 47%-4.0%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

5,9 mil €

Liquidez

27,2 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

22/07/25, 21:4131/12/26, 23:55

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 3147%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map.
  • An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify.
  • Actual control must be established.