Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 55.7%
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14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado3/04/26, 19:40 UTC1/01/27, 00:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, as of 12:00 PM UTC on January 1st, 2027, the government of Iran or entities acting under its authority (such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) are actively requiring or enforcing the payment of tolls for the passage of commercial vessels through any part of the Strait of Hormuz.
- The market will resolve to NO if such a regime is not in effect at that time.
- Resolution will be determined by consensus of credible international reporting (e.g., major news outlets like Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, or maritime industry monitors like Lloyd's List Intelligence).
- Clear evidence of a functional, officially sanctioned, or de facto toll collection system—where passage is conditioned upon payment—will satisfy the criteria for a YES.
- The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global maritime chokepoint connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman.
Mercados abertos
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- September 11-19.5pt49%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 56% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria