Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.9%
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13
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 8 minutos
4/08/26, 21:06 UTC15/09/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
According to a rumor on Twitter Ilya's firm SSI is planning to finally release a product in August.
- They have previously stated that their plan is to release nothing until they have superintelligence.
- So, if they are true to their word this release should be pretty amazing right? I am skeptical, but would like to remain open to being surprised.
- SITUATION DETECTED: Ilya Sutskever's Safe Superintelligence is reportedly planning to launch its highly anticipated first model in August 2026, per Gavin Baker in an interview with Patrick O'Shaughnessy.
- https://x.com/i/status/2084675767053824332
- So this is a subjective market, and therefore one I will not be betting in.
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- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
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- Yes-0.3pt2%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? é resolvido?
- Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: According to a rumor on Twitter Ilya's firm SSI is planning to finally release a product in August.