Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 90.8% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

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Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

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Atualizado há 22 horas

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13/01/24, 04:00 UTC13/01/28, 07:59 UTC

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Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.

For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2027.
For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
[image]Same question but for:

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Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

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